ungemmed @ 2004-06-25 12:11:00

I theorize to distract myself from WIBBLE
Mood: blank

Throwing out ideas as to the identity of Lisa's murderer:

the Head Boy: This is the obvious one and I've already seen him pointed out in a few places. I'd always gotten the impression though that he rather liked Lisa... his notes always seemed rather solicitous to me. I don't know. I'm kinda loath to say anything until we know who exactly he is.

Nott: The players have confirmed that he is neither Teh Horrible Ev0l nor any particular force for good. He's mysterious enough... no one particularly knows his motives but if he weren't important he wouldn't come up so much. (Especially as he's been brought to the fore lately via Millicent and NA tends to highlight minor characters they're about to use before they actually use them. A warm-up of sorts.)

Blaise: The only really certain thing we know about the murderer is that Ernie didn't know him/her. It's hard to prove a negative, though: how can we say that Ernie wouldn't recognize, say, some second-year Ravenclaw by sight, even if he had absolutely no reason to know that person? But since no one's ever seen Blaise's face, it's pretty safe to say that if Blaise took off its hood then Ernie wouldn't recognize it.

e: Further scrutiny of Ernie's comment:
-The murderer is male. (Does this eliminate Blaise? On the one hand, Blaise could be male, but on the other hand, would NA be willing to reveal Blaise's gender, especially so soon after reassuring us that Blaise would remain an It even after Rowling's announcement?)
-Lisa appeared to know the murderer? He was standing near Lisa beforehand. I wish I knew when this "standing near" was... could this mean that the murderer's another Ravenclaw?
-"After it did he disappeared." So the murderer has to be old enough to Apparate.

A fourth theory: Mullarkey. Except I don't want to believe this one at all! I've always thought there was something vaguely shady about him, but if he were the one who killed Lisa that would hurt far too much.

Comments:


 tacks @ Deleted Deleted

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th_australia @ Deleted Deleted

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ungemmed @ June 25 2004, 16:39:49 UTC

Here is a roundup of as many people's handwriting as we've seen. It includes one Head Boy note.

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anemonerose @ June 25 2004, 16:34:45 UTC

I don't think it's Morgan. Remember in Mandy's post, how she said her and Morgan had been trapped behind that table? I somehow doubt he could have killed Lisa and *then* gotten behind the table, especially since Mandy said that she saw Lisa get killed while they were both trapped.

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ungemmed @ June 25 2004, 16:45:31 UTC

That at least is a relief.

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kearie @ June 25 2004, 16:43:09 UTC

I too would like to see all of the Head Boy's past notes. I know it's not a popular theory, but I sort of get Crabbe vibes from the last HB note, and wanted to see if I get any from any of the other notes. Maybe it's just the lack of contractions, but aside from the usage of capitalization, it seems very like his posts. It would also make a nice twist if it were Crabbe, since no one would ever expect it. (And it would work with the "HB killed Lisa" theory.)

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moocow1985 @ June 25 2004, 21:55:19 UTC

But wouldn't Ernie recognize Crabbe? The Hufflepuffs have both Charms and History of Magic with Slytherin.

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mamadeb @ June 25 2004, 16:46:16 UTC

I'm beginning to believe the DEs made polyjuice in vats.

The student went under an invisibility cloak. Or disillusioned himself.

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ungemmed @ June 25 2004, 16:49:31 UTC

Hmm. That is also possible. Damnit.

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doubtful_salmon @ June 25 2004, 18:16:17 UTC

Could not have been Apparation. Not within Hogwarts' grounds. (Even if for some reason anybody had found any way to somehow break this, why would they ride in on thestrals?)

Honestly, you'd think Hermione was the only one that ever read Hogwarts: A History.

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jacay @ June 26 2004, 04:07:51 UTC

But if the wards around Hogwarts had been broken (I believe I read somewhere that they were) then couldn't people have Apparated?

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doubtful_salmon @ June 26 2004, 05:35:36 UTC

Were they?

I mean maybe I've missed it or forgotten (there's so much information) but it seems to make the thestrals really unnecessary, doesn't it?

Unless they were broken after the DEs came and before they left/died...

I really need to make a chart or something.

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a_player @ June 26 2004, 10:06:00 UTC

I should clarify before there is confusion, that no, the wards were not broken and I'm not sure why someone said so.

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susan_voight @ June 26 2004, 17:40:05 UTC

I, for one, simply jumped to that conclusion in my summary, and I'm terribly embarassed that I didn't think it through further. I will go and correct it now.

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Anonymous @ June 25 2004, 16:59:54 UTC

i have a strange feeling that it was harry.

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doubtful_salmon @ June 25 2004, 18:11:22 UTC

Curious.

I got the impression in asking about hair colour that we could expect something red, even. However it seems like the last person in the universe to do it would be Ron.

Don't you think that if it were Harry or Ron or anybody like that that Hermione or Ernie would've known in a heartbeat?

It is an interesting thought, though, and deserves further.

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